Crise internacional na CREDN do Senado Federal: debate com senadores
Diplomacia e Relações Internacionais

Crise internacional na CREDN do Senado Federal: debate com senadores


Debate talvez seja uma palavra exagerada, mas em todo caso a sessão especial da Comissão de Relações Exteriores e de Defesa Nacional do Senado Federal organizou uma audiência especial, segunda-feira dia 8 de agosto, sobre o tema da crise financeira e seu impacto no Brasil.
Minha apresentação não foi objeto de texto escrito e sim de apresentação oral, com suporte em PP (disponível neste link:
Sistema financeiro internacional desde Bretton Woods ( pptx Senado).
Abaixo, segue um relato extraído de um boletim do Senado.

Brazil is ready to face the crisis, says Central Bank director
A few hours after th
Te announcement of the biggest falls in the stock markets for the last months – more than 8% in Brazil and 5% in the United States – two representatives of the Brazilian government tried to show on Monday (8), at the Senate, that the country is aware of the international crisis risks. Both representatives pointed out the rising in exports and in international reserves during a debate about the health of the world economic system, at the Committee on External Relations and National Defense.
“Our country is ready to face the world crisis. We have big international reserves, capacity to inject liquidity into the economy, if necessary, and a floating exchange rate.
"We have been following the international risks carefully and we are looking for the best possible solutions,” said the Central Bank's International Affairs director, Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, at the public hearing called “The International Financial System: from Post-War to current days”, in the cycle of debates called “Trends of the Brazilian Foreign Policy”.
Whereas, the secretary of Foreign Trade from the Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade, Tatiana Prazeres, said that the Brazilian exports have been rising more than the world trade average. She also mentioned the “accelerated growth” in Brazilian exports and imports from January to July this year, in comparison to last year.
“In seven months we have exported as much as in 2006,” she said.
The current crisis dimension, however, was highlighted by diplomat Paulo Roberto de Almeida, professor of the master and doctorate program of Political Economy at Uniceub, in Brasília. He predicted that the developed countries' economic growth will remain slow and will take around four or five years to recover.
“The debt has grown a lot. The American one will be a problem that will affect two generations. There will be a slow reserve diversification, but the United States are still the most flexible economy in the world and they will keep attracting capital in the predictable future. However, the dollar value will decrease, as the scenario is changing and the North Atlantic loses ground to North Pacific,” he compared.
Those movements, according to the World Bank Brazil director, Makhtar Diop, will also be related to the increasing political importance of countries considered medium income. In his opinion, the next years will still be very uncertain.
“Nowadays, there is a big uncertainty and the world will need the medium income countries to play a more important role,” he said.
After listening to the speech of the attendants of the debate, senator Roberto Requião (PMDB-PR) said that the guests had been talking about “another country”. He highlighted the fall of 40% in Brazilian industry exports over the past 30 years and complained that our economy is focused on the exports of ore and agricultural goods. He warned about the risk of fall in the commodities price, if the United States come into a new recession and consequently affect China, which is a great buyer of Brazilian primary products.
Senator Cristovam Buarque (PDT-DF), who was the debate's chairman, also highlighted the need of bigger investments in technology and said that Brazil “has no future if it remains exporting only ore”.



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