Diplomacia e Relações Internacionais
- Global Economic Prospects, 2015 : World Bank
Global Economic Prospects, January 2015 : Having Fiscal Space and Using ItGlobal growth again disappointed in 2014 but a lackluster recovery is underway, with increasingly divergent prospects in major economies. Looking ahead, growth is expected to rise...
- Brics: Vc Acredita Nesse Grupo? Entao Escreva Algo A Respeito... - Moscou, 30/10/2014
Peoples’ Friendship University of RussiaInternational Conference, October 30-31, Moscow, Russia Call for PapersThe BRICS Countries: International Unstability, Growth Trajectories and Structural Transformations ? In the framework of the international...
- Crise Dos Anos 1930 E As Licoes Para O Presente - Barry Eichengreen
Um excelente paper do conhecido economista de Berkeley, aqui apenas resumido, mas remetendo ao texto completo: Crisis and Growth in the Advanced Economies - Barry Eichengreen http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ces/journal/v53/n3/full/ces20115a.html...
- Os Emergentes Emergem, E Como... - Economist
FinanceHey big spendersEmerging economies will buy over half of the world’s imports in 2012Nov 17th 2011 | from The World In 2012 print edition...
- Uma Historia Da Divida Mundial - Fmi No Youtube
Vejam esta apresentação: 120 anos de dívida externa... Back to the Future: a History of the Global Debt http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jeIanMdkUj0 The policy choices and decisions countries face as they emerge from the worst economic crisis in 80 years...
Diplomacia e Relações Internacionais
Economic growth in emerging countries is likely to fall - Anders Aslund
Enviado por meu amigo Mauricio David:
Why Growth in Emerging Economies Is Likely to Fall - Anders Åslund
(Por que o crescimento nas economias emergentes tende a cair)
O paper do Anders Aslund aponta as muitas razões pelas quais o crescimento das economias emergentes tende a cair no futuro próximo : muito do catch-up potencial já foi utilizado e os booms extraordinários do crédito e das commodities ficaram para trás, por exemplo. As economias emergentes são, por outro lado, frágeis financeiramente. A convergência econômica não chegou ao seu fim, mas provavelmente chegou a um hiato que pode se prolongar por muitos anos.
PIIE / wp / Anders Åslund : Why Growth in Emerging Economies Is Likely to Fall
Abstract
Emerging-market growth from 2000 to 2012 was untypically high. This paper highlights the many reasons why emerging-economy growth is likely to be lower going forward. Much of the catch-up potential has already been used up. The extraordinary credit and commodity booms are over, and many large emerging economies are financially fragile.
They have major governance problems, so they need to carry out major structural reforms to be able to proceed with a decent growth rate, but many policymakers are still in a state of hubris and not very inclined to opt for reforms.They are caught up in state and crony capitalism. Rather than providing free markets for all, the West might limit its endeavors to its own benefit. Economicconvergence has hardly come to an end, but it has probably reached a hiatus that is likely to last many years. The emerging economies need to improve their quality of governance and other economic policies substantially to truly catch up. For a decade or so, the West could take the global economic lead once again as in the 1980s.
Íntegra do working paper :
http://piie.com/publications/wp/wp13-10.pdfloading...
- Global Economic Prospects, 2015 : World Bank
Global Economic Prospects, January 2015 : Having Fiscal Space and Using ItGlobal growth again disappointed in 2014 but a lackluster recovery is underway, with increasingly divergent prospects in major economies. Looking ahead, growth is expected to rise...
- Brics: Vc Acredita Nesse Grupo? Entao Escreva Algo A Respeito... - Moscou, 30/10/2014
Peoples’ Friendship University of RussiaInternational Conference, October 30-31, Moscow, Russia Call for PapersThe BRICS Countries: International Unstability, Growth Trajectories and Structural Transformations ? In the framework of the international...
- Crise Dos Anos 1930 E As Licoes Para O Presente - Barry Eichengreen
Um excelente paper do conhecido economista de Berkeley, aqui apenas resumido, mas remetendo ao texto completo: Crisis and Growth in the Advanced Economies - Barry Eichengreen http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ces/journal/v53/n3/full/ces20115a.html...
- Os Emergentes Emergem, E Como... - Economist
FinanceHey big spendersEmerging economies will buy over half of the world’s imports in 2012Nov 17th 2011 | from The World In 2012 print edition...
- Uma Historia Da Divida Mundial - Fmi No Youtube
Vejam esta apresentação: 120 anos de dívida externa... Back to the Future: a History of the Global Debt http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jeIanMdkUj0 The policy choices and decisions countries face as they emerge from the worst economic crisis in 80 years...