Diplomacia e Relações Internacionais

Crise dos Anos 1930 e as licoes para o presente - Barry Eichengreen

Um excelente paper do conhecido economista de Berkeley, aqui apenas resumido, mas remetendo ao texto completo:

Crisis and Growth in the Advanced Economies - Barry Eichengreen

http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ces/journal/v53/n3/full/ces20115a.html

Comparative Economic Studies (2011) 53, 383–406. doi:10.1057/ces.2011.5; published online 24 March 2011

Crisis and Growth in the Advanced Economies: What We Know, What We Do not, and What We Can Learn from the 1930s

Barry Eichengreen¹

¹University of California, Evans Hall 508, CA 94708 Berkeley, USA. E-mail: [email protected]

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Abstract

This paper addresses the question of whether the medium- and long-term growth potential of the advanced economies has been impaired by the global financial crisis. It evidence from the Great Despression of the 1930s to illuminate the prospects, concluding the following. First, the impact of weak bank balance sheets and heightened risk aversion made it harder for small firms. in particular, to fund investment projects. Second, there is little evidence that increased public debt or policy uncertainity had major effects in depressing investment. Third, structural unemployment dissolved quickly in the face of increased demand. Fourth and finally, the crisis was also an opportunity as firms used the downtime created by the Depression to reorganize and modernize their operations.

Neste link: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ces/journal/v53/n3/full/ces20115a.html

ou neste: http://textospra.blogspot.com.br/2012/10/crisis-and-growth-in-advanced-economies.html

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Diplomacia e Relações Internacionais